Current phase:Bear 2025-2026 (Projected)
Price:$71,843LIVE+1.2%
Drawdown:-42.4%
Days in phase:186
MCap:$1.44T
BTC/Gold:15.14 oz
Gold:$4,745/oz
Phase Progress186 / ~384 days
48%BEAR
Cycle Change
193days
Estimated: Oct 25, 2026Next Bottom
193days
Estimated: Oct 25, 2026Next ATH
1,196days
Estimated: Sep 20, 2029Fear & Greed Index
16/100
Extreme FearApr 10Next in 17h 3m
Cycle History
| Cycle | Type | Duration | Start | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear 2013-2015 | BEAR | 411 days | Nov 30, 2013 | Jan 14, 2015 |
| Bull 2015-2017 | BULL | 1,069 days | Jan 14, 2015 | Dec 17, 2017 |
| Bear 2017-2018 | BEAR | 364 days | Dec 17, 2017 | Dec 16, 2018 |
| Bull 2018-2021 | BULL | 1,061 days | Dec 16, 2018 | Nov 10, 2021 |
| Bear 2021-2022 | BEAR | 376 days | Nov 10, 2021 | Nov 21, 2022 |
| Bull 2022-2025 | BULL | 1,050 days | Nov 21, 2022 | ~Oct 6, 2025 |
Avg Bear: ~384 days | Avg Bull: ~1,060 daysFull cycle: ~1,444 days (~4 years)
Classic Cycle Methodology
The analysis is based on the 4-year cycle theory of Bitcoin, linked to halving events that reduce the issuance of new BTC by half approximately every 210,000 blocks. Historically, each halving has preceded a significant bull phase followed by a deep correction.
Phases are defined from bottom to ATH (bull) and from ATH to bottom (bear). Historical averages show bull phases of ~1,060 days and bear phases of ~384 days, completing a cycle of approximately 4 years.
Projections are estimates based on historical averages and do not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.